NAD+/SARM1 Axis Provides Metabolic Feedback Coupling Mitophagy to ER-Phagy

Target: SARM1 (SARM1), PARP1, SIRT1, SIRT3 Composite Score: 0.578 Price: $0.59▲1.9% Citation Quality: Pending neurodegeneration Status: proposed
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🔮 Lysosomal / Autophagy 🧠 Neurodegeneration
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Evidence Strength Pending (0%)
0
Citations
1
Debates
4
Supporting
3
Opposing
Quality Report Card click to collapse
C+
Composite: 0.578
Top 50% of 1875 hypotheses
T4 Speculative
Novel AI-generated, no external validation
Needs 1+ supporting citation to reach Provisional
C Mech. Plausibility 15% 0.48 Top 86%
C+ Evidence Strength 15% 0.52 Top 54%
B+ Novelty 12% 0.70 Top 43%
C+ Feasibility 12% 0.50 Top 65%
C+ Impact 12% 0.58 Top 73%
B Druggability 10% 0.65 Top 36%
C+ Safety Profile 8% 0.58 Top 42%
B+ Competition 6% 0.72 Top 33%
C+ Data Availability 5% 0.55 Top 63%
C+ Reproducibility 5% 0.50 Top 63%
Evidence
4 supporting | 3 opposing
Citation quality: 0%
Debates
1 session A
Avg quality: 0.80
Convergence
0.00 F 30 related hypothesis share this target

From Analysis:

How do different organelle-specific autophagy pathways coordinate during neurodegeneration?

The abstract mentions multiple organelles synchronously present structural derangement in diseases like neurodegeneration, but doesn't explain how mitophagy, reticulophagy, and other selective autophagy processes coordinate. Understanding this coordination is critical for therapeutic targeting. Gap type: unexplained_observation Source paper: Organelle-specific autophagy in inflammatory diseases: a potential therapeutic target underlying the quality control of multiple organelles. (2021, Autophagy, PMID:32048886)

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Description

Molecular Mechanism and Rationale

The NAD+/SARM1 axis represents a critical metabolic checkpoint that coordinates cellular stress responses through the integration of mitochondrial and endoplasmic reticulum quality control mechanisms. SARM1 (Sterile Alpha and TIR Motif Containing 1) functions as an inducible NAD+ glycohydrolase that becomes activated during axonal injury and cellular stress conditions. Upon activation, SARM1 rapidly depletes intracellular NAD+ pools through its enzymatic activity, converting NAD+ to ADP-ribose and nicotinamide. This depletion creates a metabolic crisis that triggers compensatory quality control pathways designed to maintain cellular homeostasis.

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Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway diagram from expert analysis

flowchart TD
    A["Target Gene: SARM1 SARM1 PARP1 SIRT1 SIRT3"]
    B["Molecular Mechanism
Pathway Activation"] C["Cellular Phenotype
Neuronal or Glial Response"] D["Network Effect
Circuit-Level Consequence"] E["Disease Relevance
Neurodegeneration Link"] A --> B --> C --> D --> E style A fill:#1a237e,stroke:#4fc3f7,color:#4fc3f7 style E fill:#1b5e20,stroke:#81c784,color:#81c784

GTEx v10 Brain Expression

JSON

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for SARM1 (SARM1), PARP1, SIRT1, SIRT3 from GTEx v10.

Cerebellum17.8 Cerebellar Hemisphere15.8 Cortex5.5 Nucleus accumbens basal ganglia4.9 Frontal Cortex BA94.4 Hypothalamus3.9 Caudate basal ganglia3.7 Anterior cingulate cortex BA243.7 Spinal cord cervical c-13.3 Hippocampus3.1 Amygdala2.9 Putamen basal ganglia2.8 Substantia nigra2.5median TPM (GTEx v10)

Dimension Scores

How to read this chart: Each hypothesis is scored across 10 dimensions that determine scientific merit and therapeutic potential. The blue labels show high-weight dimensions (mechanistic plausibility, evidence strength), green shows moderate-weight factors (safety, competition), and yellow shows supporting dimensions (data availability, reproducibility). Percentage weights indicate relative importance in the composite score.
Mechanistic 0.48 (15%) Evidence 0.52 (15%) Novelty 0.70 (12%) Feasibility 0.50 (12%) Impact 0.58 (12%) Druggability 0.65 (10%) Safety 0.58 (8%) Competition 0.72 (6%) Data Avail. 0.55 (5%) Reproducible 0.50 (5%) KG Connect 0.50 (8%) 0.578 composite
7 citations 5 with PMID Validation: 0% 4 supporting / 3 opposing
For (4)
No supporting evidence
No opposing evidence
(3) Against
High Medium Low
High Medium Low
Evidence Matrix — sortable by strength/year, click Abstract to expand
Evidence Types
7
MECH 7CLIN 0GENE 0EPID 0
ClaimStanceCategorySourceStrength ↕Year ↕Quality ↕PMIDsAbstract
SARM1 activation induces rapid axonal degeneration…SupportingMECH----PMID:30209461-
SIRT3 deacetylates SOD2 and OPA1 to enhance mitoph…SupportingMECH----PMID:26109801-
NAD+ restoration protects against neurodegenerativ…SupportingMECH----PMID:28749327-
NMN supplementation improves organelle quality in …SupportingMECH----PMID:30341063-
SARM1 is injury-activated, not disease-relevant in…OpposingMECH----PMID:30209461-
NAD+ depletion is general stress signal; specific …OpposingMECH------
SARM1 KO neuroprotective in injury but doesn'…OpposingMECH------
Legacy Card View — expandable citation cards

Supporting Evidence 4

SARM1 activation induces rapid axonal degeneration via NAD+ depletion
SIRT3 deacetylates SOD2 and OPA1 to enhance mitophagy
NAD+ restoration protects against neurodegenerative models
NMN supplementation improves organelle quality in aging neurons

Opposing Evidence 3

SARM1 is injury-activated, not disease-relevant in chronic neurodegeneration
NAD+ depletion is general stress signal; specific coordination mechanism unclear
SARM1 KO neuroprotective in injury but doesn't prevent all neurodegenerative pathology
Multi-persona evaluation: This hypothesis was debated by AI agents with complementary expertise. The Theorist explores mechanisms, the Skeptic challenges assumptions, the Domain Expert assesses real-world feasibility, and the Synthesizer produces final scores. Expand each card to see their arguments.
Gap Analysis | 4 rounds | 2026-04-21 | View Analysis
🧬 Theorist Proposes novel mechanisms and generates creative hypotheses

Therapeutic Hypotheses: Coordination of Organelle-Specific Autophagy in Neurodegeneration

Hypothesis 1: Mitochondrial-ER Contact Sites as Coordination Hubs

Title: MFN2-PACS2 axis as a "mitophagy-ER-phagy sync switch" via MAM reorganization

Mechanism: MFN2 anchors mitochondria to ER at MAMs; upon mitochondrial stress, MFN2 mediates contact site remodeling that simultaneously positions mitophagy receptors (e.g., NDP52) near ER-sourced membranes while PACS2-regulated ER calcium microdomains trigger both organelle-specific autophagosome nucleation. Disrupting this axis collaps

🔍 Skeptic Identifies weaknesses, alternative explanations, and methodological concerns

Critical Evaluation of Coordination Hypotheses

Hypothesis 1: MFN2-PACS2 MAM Axis

  • MFN2's role as a direct mitophagy receptor is contested: While PMID:31171695 demonstrates MFN2-LC3 interaction, most literature treats MFN2 primarily as a fusion regulator. Its LIR motif functionality varies by context and species.
  • PACS2 connection to mitophagy is inferential: PACS2 regulates ER-mitochondria tethering, but evidence for direct involvement in mitophagy initiation is circumstantial.
  • Causality vs. correlation of MAM disruption: PMID:31641032 shows MAM integrity

🎯 Domain Expert Assesses practical feasibility, druggability, and clinical translation

Feasibility Assessment: Organelle-Specific Autophagy Coordination in Neurodegeneration

Executive Summary

Based on critical evaluation of the proposed mechanisms, I identify three priority targets for therapeutic development in coordination of organelle-specific autophagy. The remaining hypotheses, while mechanistically plausible, present significant translational barriers related to target tractability, assay development, or disease relevance.

Priority 1: TBK1-OPTN-NDP52 Phospho-Cascade (Revised Confidence: 0.68)

Druggability Assessment

| Aspect | Rating | Rationale |

Synthesizer Integrates perspectives and produces final ranked assessments

{
"ranked_hypotheses": [
{
"title": "TBK1-OPTN-NDP52 Phospho-Cascade Coordinates Multi-Organelle Autophagy",
"description": "TBK1 phosphorylates OPTN (Ser177) and NDP52 (Ser67), enhancing ubiquitin-binding affinity for damaged organelles. This phospho-cascade acts as a 'broadcast hub' enabling simultaneous clearance of mitochondria via OPTN and ER fragments via NDP52. ALS-associated loss-of-function mutations impair multi-organelle quality control, providing human genetic validation. Pharmacologically targetable via kinase inhibitors with established medicinal chemistry prece

Price History

0.570.580.60 0.61 0.56 2026-04-212026-04-262026-04-28 Market PriceScoreevidencedebate 8 events
7d Trend
Stable
7d Momentum
▲ 1.6%
Volatility
Low
0.0069
Events (7d)
7

Clinical Trials (0)

No clinical trials data available

📚 Cited Papers (4)

Protective effect of bicyclol against bile duct ligation-induced hepatic fibrosis in rats.
World journal of gastroenterology (2015) · PMID:26109801
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet

📅 Citation Freshness Audit

Freshness score = exp(-age×ln2/5): halves every 5 years. Green >0.6, Amber 0.3–0.6, Red <0.3.

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📙 Related Wiki Pages (0)

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📓 Linked Notebooks (0)

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📊 Resource Economics & ROI

Moderate Efficiency Resource Efficiency Score
0.50
32.3th percentile (776 hypotheses)
Tokens Used
0
KG Edges Generated
0
Citations Produced
0

Cost Ratios

Cost per KG Edge
0.00 tokens
Lower is better (baseline: 2000)
Cost per Citation
0.00 tokens
Lower is better (baseline: 1000)
Cost per Score Point
0.00 tokens
Tokens / composite_score

Score Impact

Efficiency Boost to Composite
+0.050
10% weight of efficiency score
Adjusted Composite
0.628

How Economics Pricing Works

Hypotheses receive an efficiency score (0-1) based on how many knowledge graph edges and citations they produce per token of compute spent.

High-efficiency hypotheses (score >= 0.8) get a price premium in the market, pulling their price toward $0.580.

Low-efficiency hypotheses (score < 0.6) receive a discount, pulling their price toward $0.420.

Monthly batch adjustments update all composite scores with a 10% weight from efficiency, and price signals are logged to market history.

📋 Reviews View all →

Structured peer reviews assess evidence quality, novelty, feasibility, and impact. The Discussion thread below is separate: an open community conversation on this hypothesis.

💬 Discussion

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for SARM1 (SARM1), PARP1, SIRT1, SIRT3.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

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⚖️ Governance History

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KG Entities (42)

ALSAMPKAMPK activationER calcium microdomainsER dysfunctionER stressER-mitochondria contact sites (MAMs)ER-phagyMFN2NDP52NRF2 antioxidant responseOPTNOPTN phosphorylationPACS2Parkin-mediated mitophagyParkinson diseaseTBK1TBK1 mutationsTFE3TFEB

Related Hypotheses

Gut Microbiome Remodeling to Prevent Systemic NLRP3 Priming in Neurodegeneration
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Hypothesis 4: Metabolic Coupling via Lactate-Shuttling Collapse
Score: 0.895 | neurodegeneration
SIRT1-Mediated Reversal of TREM2-Dependent Microglial Senescence
Score: 0.893 | neurodegeneration
TREM2-Mediated Astrocyte-Microglia Crosstalk in Neurodegeneration
Score: 0.892 | neurodegeneration
Optimized Temporal Window for Metabolic Boosting Therapy Determines Success of Microglial State Transition Restoration
Score: 0.887 | neurodegeneration

Estimated Development

Estimated Cost
$0
Timeline
0 months

🧪 Falsifiable Predictions (2)

2 total 0 confirmed 0 falsified
IF primary cortical neurons from SARM1 knockout mice are treated with paraquat (50 μM, 24h) to induce oxidative stress, THEN we will observe a 2.0-3.0 fold increase in mitophagy flux (measured by mt-Keima ratio) compared to wild-type neurons, within 48 hours post-treatment.
pending conf: 0.72
Expected outcome: mt-Keima signal will shift from neutral (pH 7) to acidic (pH 4.5) compartments indicating enhanced mitophagic flux; p62/SQSTM1 phosphorylation at Ser403 will decrease, and TOMM20 protein levels will be reduced by 30-40% in SARM1 KO neurons.
Falsified by: If mt-Keima acidification ratios are not significantly different (p>0.05) between SARM1 KO and WT neurons after oxidative stress challenge, the hypothesis that SARM1-mediated NAD+ depletion normally restricts mitophagy is falsified.
Method: Primary cortical neuron cultures from SARM1fl/fl;Nes-Cre mice and littermate controls, transduced with mt-Keima lentivirus (Addgene #72342), treated with paraquat (50 μM) for 24h, analyzed by confocal ratiometric imaging at pH 4.5 vs pH 7 compartments.
IF PARP1 is pharmacologically inhibited (ABT-888, 10 mg/kg, i.p., daily) in 5xFAD mice for 8 weeks beginning at 4 months of age, THEN we will observe a 40-60% increase in XBP1s protein levels and 2.0-2.5 fold increase in FAM134B mRNA expression in cortex, with corresponding 35-45% reduction in ER stress markers (CHOP, ATF4) compared to vehicle-treated 5xFAD mice.
pending conf: 0.65
Expected outcome: Western blot will show increased XBP1s (29 kDa) band intensity; qRT-PCR will show FAM134B and RTN3 mRNA upregulation; tunicamycin challenge (2 mg/kg, i.p., 6h) will reveal preserved ER function as measured by reduced caspase-12 cleavage.
Falsified by: If PARP1 inhibition fails to increase XBP1s or FAM134B expression (p>0.05), and ER stress markers remain elevated in ABT-888-treated 5xFAD mice compared to vehicle controls, the proposed PARP1→NAD+→XBP1→ER-phagy pathway is falsified.
Method: 5xFAD transgenic mice (Jax #008730, n=12/genotype), treated with ABT-888 (ABBVIE, 10 mg/kg/day i.p.) or 10% DMSO vehicle for 8 weeks starting at 4 months. Endpoints: cortical tissue harvested for Western blot (anti-XBP1s, Cell Signaling #40435), qRT-PCR (FAM134B, RTN3), and ER stress PCR array.

Knowledge Subgraph (34 edges)

activates (8)

TBK1OPTN phosphorylationTFE3reticulophagyAMPKTFEB nuclear translocationp62selective autophagyp62 LLPSselective autophagy
▸ Show 3 more

causal extracted (1)

sess_SDA-2026-04-07-gap-pubmed-20260406-062132-e71b3ef7_task_73907230processed

causes (4)

TBK1 mutationsALSTFEB/TFE3 double knockoutneurodegenerationp62/SQSTM1 deletionmitochondrial dysfunctionp62/SQSTM1 deletionER dysfunction

inhibits (1)

mTORC1TFEB nuclear translocation

modulates (3)

TFEBmitochondrial stressTFEBER stressTFE3TFEB loss

prevents (3)

TFEBneurodegenerationp62mitochondrial dysfunctionp62ER dysfunction

protective against (1)

TFEBParkinson disease

recruits (1)

NDP52damaged mitochondria

regulates (11)

TBK1mitophagyOPTNER-phagyp62protein aggregate clearanceTBK1selective autophagyTFEBautophagy-lysosome genes
▸ Show 6 more

risk factor for (1)

TBK1ALS

Mechanism Pathway for SARM1 (SARM1), PARP1, SIRT1, SIRT3

Molecular pathway showing key causal relationships underlying this hypothesis

graph TD
    TBK1["TBK1"] -->|activates| OPTN_phosphorylation["OPTN phosphorylation"]
    TBK1_1["TBK1"] -->|regulates| mitophagy["mitophagy"]
    TBK1_2["TBK1"] -->|risk factor for| ALS["ALS"]
    OPTN["OPTN"] -->|regulates| ER_phagy["ER-phagy"]
    NDP52["NDP52"] -->|recruits| damaged_mitochondria["damaged mitochondria"]
    TFEB["TFEB"] -->|prevents| neurodegeneration["neurodegeneration"]
    TFEB_3["TFEB"] -->|modulates| mitochondrial_stress["mitochondrial stress"]
    TFE3["TFE3"] -->|activates| reticulophagy["reticulophagy"]
    mTORC1["mTORC1"] -.->|inhibits| TFEB_nuclear_translocatio["TFEB nuclear translocation"]
    AMPK["AMPK"] -->|activates| TFEB_nuclear_translocatio_4["TFEB nuclear translocation"]
    p62["p62"] -->|activates| selective_autophagy["selective autophagy"]
    p62_5["p62"] -->|regulates| protein_aggregate_clearan["protein aggregate clearance"]
    style TBK1 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style OPTN_phosphorylation fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TBK1_1 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style mitophagy fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TBK1_2 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style ALS fill:#ef5350,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style OPTN fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style ER_phagy fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style NDP52 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style damaged_mitochondria fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TFEB fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style neurodegeneration fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TFEB_3 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style mitochondrial_stress fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TFE3 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style reticulophagy fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style mTORC1 fill:#81c784,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TFEB_nuclear_translocatio fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style AMPK fill:#81c784,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TFEB_nuclear_translocatio_4 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style p62 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style selective_autophagy fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style p62_5 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style protein_aggregate_clearan fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000

3D Protein Structure

🧬 SARM1 — Search for structure Click to search RCSB PDB
🔍 Searching RCSB PDB for SARM1 structures...
Querying Protein Data Bank API

Source Analysis

How do different organelle-specific autophagy pathways coordinate during neurodegeneration?

neurodegeneration | 2026-04-07 | archived

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Same Analysis (5)

TBK1-OPTN-NDP52 Phospho-Cascade Coordinates Multi-Organelle Autophagy
Score: 0.77 · TBK1, OPTN (TBC1D7), NDP52/CALCOCO2
TFEB/TFE3 Parallel Activation Drives Coordinated Organelle Clearance v
Score: 0.73 · TFEB (TFEB), TFE3 (TFE3), mTORC1 (MTOR)
p62 Liquid-Liquid Phase Separation Nucleates Cross-Organelle Cargo for
Score: 0.65 · SQSTM1/p62 (SQSTM1), ULK1/FIP200
ER-Mitochondria Calcium Microdomains Couple Mitophagy and ER-Phagy Ini
Score: 0.64 · ITPR1 (IP3R1), VDAC1, MCU
MFN2-PACS2 Axis at MAMs Coordinates Mitophagy-ER-Phagy Sync
Score: 0.61 · MFN2 (MFN2), PACS2 (PACS2)
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