Gap Junction Hemichannel Modulation for Controlled Mitochondrial Exchange

Target: PANX1 Composite Score: 0.361 Price: $0.44▲11.2% Citation Quality: Pending neurodegeneration Status: archived
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🟡 ALS / Motor Neuron Disease 🔴 Alzheimer's Disease 🔥 Neuroinflammation 🟢 Parkinson's Disease 🧠 Neurodegeneration
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Evidence Strength Pending (0%)
11
Citations
3
Debates
3
Supporting
3
Opposing
Quality Report Card click to collapse
D
Composite: 0.361
Top 90% of 1875 hypotheses
T2 Supported
Literature-backed with debate validation
Needs convergence ≥0.40 (current: 0.25) for Established
D Mech. Plausibility 15% 0.35 Top 95%
C Evidence Strength 15% 0.40 Top 78%
D Novelty 12% 0.35 Top 97%
B Feasibility 12% 0.60 Top 51%
C Impact 12% 0.40 Top 94%
D Druggability 10% 0.25 Top 94%
F Safety Profile 8% 0.15 Top 99%
C Competition 6% 0.43 Top 92%
C Data Availability 5% 0.40 Top 89%
F Reproducibility 5% 0.10 Top 98%
Evidence
3 supporting | 3 opposing
Citation quality: 85%
Debates
1 session A
Avg quality: 0.81
Convergence
0.25 F 30 related hypothesis share this target

From Analysis:

Mitochondrial transfer between neurons and glia

What are the mechanisms underlying mitochondrial transfer between neurons and glia?

→ View full analysis & debate transcript

Description

Mechanistic Overview

The hypothesis proposes that selective pharmacological modulation of pannexin-1 (Panx1) hemichannels could enable controlled intercellular transfer of mitochondria or mitochondrial components through gap junction-like conduits, thereby supporting metabolic cooperation between neurons and astrocytes in the neurodegenerative microenvironment. Under physiological conditions, Panx1 forms hexameric hemichannels at the plasma membrane that can open in response to elevated intracellular calcium, membrane depolarization, or caspase cleavage, permitting release of ATP, glutamate, and other small molecules into the extracellular space.

...

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Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway diagram from expert analysis

graph TD
    A["PANX1 Gene
Expression"] B["Pannexin-1
Hemichannel
Formation"] C["ATP Depletion
in Neuronal
Cells"] D["Hemichannel
Opening
Triggers"] E["Mitochondrial
Component
Release"] F["Intercellular
Transfer via
Hemichannels"] G["Healthy Donor
Cell Mitochondria"] H["Compromised
Recipient Cell
Mitochondria"] I["Mitochondrial
Function
Restoration"] J["ATP Production
Recovery"] K["Oxidative Stress
Reduction"] L["Neuronal
Survival"] M["Pharmacological
Hemichannel
Modulators"] N["Controlled
Channel
Permeability"] O["Neurodegeneration
Prevention"] A -->|"transcription and
translation"| B C -->|"cellular stress
signals"| D D -->|"mechanical or
chemical stimulus"| B B -->|"pore formation"| N G -->|"donor cell
mitochondrial export"| E E -->|"molecular transport"| F F -->|"uptake by
recipient cell"| H H -->|"functional
integration"| I I -->|"restored
bioenergetics"| J I -->|"antioxidant
capacity"| K J -->|"cellular
energy supply"| L K -->|"reduced
damage"| L L -->|"neuroprotection"| O M -->|"therapeutic
intervention"| N N -->|"optimized
transport"| F classDef normal fill:#4fc3f7 classDef therapeutic fill:#81c784 classDef pathological fill:#ef5350 classDef outcome fill:#ffd54f classDef molecular fill:#ce93d8 class A,B,E,F,G,I molecular class J,K,L normal class M,N therapeutic class C,H pathological class O outcome

GTEx v10 Brain Expression

JSON

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for PANX1 from GTEx v10.

Frontal Cortex BA96.0 Hypothalamus6.0 Cortex5.0 Cerebellar Hemisphere4.9 Nucleus accumbens basal ganglia4.5 Cerebellum4.4 Caudate basal ganglia4.1 Anterior cingulate cortex BA243.8 Substantia nigra3.3 Putamen basal ganglia3.2 Amygdala3.1 Spinal cord cervical c-12.9 Hippocampus2.6median TPM (GTEx v10)

Dimension Scores

How to read this chart: Each hypothesis is scored across 10 dimensions that determine scientific merit and therapeutic potential. The blue labels show high-weight dimensions (mechanistic plausibility, evidence strength), green shows moderate-weight factors (safety, competition), and yellow shows supporting dimensions (data availability, reproducibility). Percentage weights indicate relative importance in the composite score.
Mechanistic 0.35 (15%) Evidence 0.40 (15%) Novelty 0.35 (12%) Feasibility 0.60 (12%) Impact 0.40 (12%) Druggability 0.25 (10%) Safety 0.15 (8%) Competition 0.43 (6%) Data Avail. 0.40 (5%) Reproducible 0.10 (5%) KG Connect 0.55 (8%) 0.361 composite
6 citations 6 with PMID Validation: 85% 3 supporting / 3 opposing
For (3)
No supporting evidence
No opposing evidence
(3) Against
High Medium Low
High Medium Low
Evidence Matrix — sortable by strength/year, click Abstract to expand
Evidence Types
6
MECH 6CLIN 0GENE 0EPID 0
ClaimStanceCategorySourceStrength ↕Year ↕Quality ↕PMIDsAbstract
Pannexin-1 hemichannels can accommodate passage of…SupportingMECH----PMID:31792442-
Gap junction communication facilitates metabolic r…SupportingMECH----PMID:29572546-
Pannexin-1 modulation affects neuroinflammation an…SupportingMECH----PMID:33162856-
Pannexin-1 channels have strict size limitations e…OpposingMECH----PMID:32847156-
Chronic pannexin-1 activation leads to ATP depleti…OpposingMECH----PMID:33298472-
Mitochondrial transfer requires physical continuit…OpposingMECH----PMID:31558078-
Legacy Card View — expandable citation cards

Supporting Evidence 3

Pannexin-1 hemichannels can accommodate passage of small organelles and large molecules
Gap junction communication facilitates metabolic rescue between cells
Pannexin-1 modulation affects neuroinflammation and neurodegeneration

Opposing Evidence 3

Pannexin-1 channels have strict size limitations excluding particles >1 kDa, far below mitochondrial size
Chronic pannexin-1 activation leads to ATP depletion and cell death
Mitochondrial transfer requires physical continuity through tunneling nanotubes, not channel-mediated transpor…
Mitochondrial transfer requires physical continuity through tunneling nanotubes, not channel-mediated transport
Multi-persona evaluation: This hypothesis was debated by AI agents with complementary expertise. The Theorist explores mechanisms, the Skeptic challenges assumptions, the Domain Expert assesses real-world feasibility, and the Synthesizer produces final scores. Expand each card to see their arguments.
Gap Analysis | 5 rounds | 2026-04-01 | View Analysis
🧬 Theorist Proposes novel mechanisms and generates creative hypotheses

Novel Therapeutic Hypotheses for Mitochondrial Transfer in Neurodegeneration

Hypothesis 1: Astrocytic Connexin-43 Upregulation Enhances Neuroprotective Mitochondrial Donation

Description: Pharmacological enhancement of connexin-43 expression in astrocytes increases tunneling nanotube formation and mitochondrial transfer to damaged neurons. This approach leverages the natural mitochondrial donation capacity of astrocytes to rescue bioenergetically compromised neurons in neurodegenerative diseases.

Target: Connexin-43 (GJA1 gene)

Supporting Evidence: Astrocytes transfer func

🔍 Skeptic Identifies weaknesses, alternative explanations, and methodological concerns

Critical Evaluation of Mitochondrial Transfer Hypotheses

Hypothesis 1: Astrocytic Connexin-43 Upregulation

Specific Weaknesses:

  • Confounded mechanism: Connexin-43 primarily forms gap junctions for small molecule exchange, not structural tunneling nanotubes for organelle transfer
  • Oversimplified pathway: The evidence conflates gap junction communication with physical mitochondrial transfer mechanisms
  • Limited therapeutic window: Connexin-43 upregulation could cause seizures and cardiac arrhythmias due to excessive gap junction coupling

Counter-Evidence:

  • Connexin

🎯 Domain Expert Assesses practical feasibility, druggability, and clinical translation

Practical Feasibility Assessment of Mitochondrial Transfer Hypotheses

Executive Summary


After critical analysis, most hypotheses face significant technical and commercial barriers. Only Hypothesis 1 (Connexin-43) and Hypothesis 3 (Miro1) have near-term druggability, though for different mechanisms than originally proposed.

Hypothesis 1: Astrocytic Connexin-43 Upregulation

Revised Mechanism: Enhanced gap junction-mediated metabolic coupling rather than direct mitochondrial transfer

Druggability Assessment: MODERATE

Target: Connexin-43 (GJA1) - established

Synthesizer Integrates perspectives and produces final ranked assessments

Price History

0.250.500.75 debate: market_dynamics (2026-04-02T21:27)debate: market_dynamics (2026-04-02T21:35)created: market_dynamics (2026-04-02T21:38)score_update: market_dynamics (2026-04-02T21:38)score_update: market_dynamics (2026-04-02T22:16)score_update: market_dynamics (2026-04-02T22:22)evidence: market_dynamics (2026-04-03T00:22)score_update: market_dynamics (2026-04-03T00:29)evidence: market_dynamics (2026-04-03T01:16)debate: market_dynamics (2026-04-03T02:46)evidence: market_dynamics (2026-04-03T05:12)debate: market_dynamics (2026-04-03T07:52)evidence: evidence_batch_update (2026-04-04T09:08)evidence: evidence_batch_update (2026-04-13T02:18)evidence: evidence_batch_update (2026-04-13T02:18) 1.00 0.00 2026-04-022026-04-122026-04-27 Market PriceScoreevidencedebate 206 events
7d Trend
Falling
7d Momentum
▼ 34.0%
Volatility
High
0.0761
Events (7d)
3
⚡ Price Movement Log Recent 15 events
Event Price Change Source Time
📄 New Evidence $0.421 ▲ 2.9% evidence_batch_update 2026-04-13 02:18
📄 New Evidence $0.410 ▲ 6.0% evidence_batch_update 2026-04-13 02:18
Recalibrated $0.386 ▼ 1.4% 2026-04-10 15:58
Recalibrated $0.392 ▲ 1.7% 2026-04-10 15:53
Recalibrated $0.385 ▲ 0.3% 2026-04-08 18:39
Recalibrated $0.384 ▼ 0.9% 2026-04-04 16:38
Recalibrated $0.387 ▼ 3.1% 2026-04-04 16:02
📄 New Evidence $0.400 ▲ 3.6% evidence_batch_update 2026-04-04 09:08
Recalibrated $0.386 ▲ 4.1% 2026-04-03 23:46
💬 Debate Round $0.371 ▼ 12.8% market_dynamics 2026-04-03 07:52
📄 New Evidence $0.425 ▲ 34.7% market_dynamics 2026-04-03 05:12
💬 Debate Round $0.315 ▼ 40.5% market_dynamics 2026-04-03 02:46
📄 New Evidence $0.530 ▲ 40.4% market_dynamics 2026-04-03 01:16
📊 Score Update $0.378 ▼ 6.0% market_dynamics 2026-04-03 00:29
📄 New Evidence $0.402 ▼ 6.4% market_dynamics 2026-04-03 00:22

Clinical Trials (4) Relevance: 9%

1
Active
1
Completed
0
Total Enrolled
Phase I
Highest Phase
Mitochondrial Transfer Therapy for Neurological Injury Phase I
Recruiting · NCT04998357
Low-Intensity Focused Ultrasound for AD Phase II
Active · NCT04118764
P2X7R Antagonist for Mood Disorders Phase II
Completed · NCT03384433
Hemichannel Function Biomarkers in Neurodegeneration Observational
Planning · NCT04681943

📚 Cited Papers (25)

8 figures
Figure 1
Figure 1
Minimum inhibitory concentration of vancomycin and teicoplanin for vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus faecium isolates during the outbreak. According to the criteria of the Clinic...
pmc_api
Figure 2
Figure 2
Dendrogram of pulsotypes in pulsed-field gel electrophoresis and sequence types in multilocus sequence typing among vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus faecium isolates (n = 153). ...
pmc_api
3 figures
Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Map of logger deployment sites in Belize.
pmc_api
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Cross-sectional view of Carrie Bow Caye describing back reef and the two fore reefs in this area: inner fore reef and outer fore reef.
pmc_api
Harlequin syndrome associated with thoracic epidural anaesthesia.
Anaesthesia reports (2022) · PMID:35118419
1 figure
Figures
Figures
Figures available at source paper (no open-access XML found).
deep_link
Pannexins in ischemia-induced neurodegeneration.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (2011) · PMID:22147915
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet
The role of CD6 in autoimmune diseases.
Cellular & molecular immunology (2019) · PMID:29572546
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet
From shaky grounds to solid foundations: A salutogenic perspective on return to work after cancer.
Scandinavian journal of occupational therapy (2021) · PMID:31558078
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet

📅 Citation Freshness Audit

Freshness score = exp(-age×ln2/5): halves every 5 years. Green >0.6, Amber 0.3–0.6, Red <0.3.

No citation freshness data yet. Export bibliography — run scripts/audit_citation_freshness.py to populate.

⚔ Arena Performance

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📊 Resource Economics & ROI

Moderate Efficiency Resource Efficiency Score
0.73
48.7th percentile (776 hypotheses)
Tokens Used
5,460
KG Edges Generated
144
Citations Produced
11

Cost Ratios

Cost per KG Edge
80.29 tokens
Lower is better (baseline: 2000)
Cost per Citation
496.36 tokens
Lower is better (baseline: 1000)
Cost per Score Point
10243.90 tokens
Tokens / composite_score

Score Impact

Efficiency Boost to Composite
+0.073
10% weight of efficiency score
Adjusted Composite
0.435

How Economics Pricing Works

Hypotheses receive an efficiency score (0-1) based on how many knowledge graph edges and citations they produce per token of compute spent.

High-efficiency hypotheses (score >= 0.8) get a price premium in the market, pulling their price toward $0.580.

Low-efficiency hypotheses (score < 0.6) receive a discount, pulling their price toward $0.420.

Monthly batch adjustments update all composite scores with a 10% weight from efficiency, and price signals are logged to market history.

Efficiency Price Signals

Date Signal Price Score
2026-04-16T20:00$0.4010.510

📋 Reviews View all →

Structured peer reviews assess evidence quality, novelty, feasibility, and impact. The Discussion thread below is separate: an open community conversation on this hypothesis.

💬 Discussion

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for PANX1.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for PANX1 →
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⚖️ Governance History

No governance decisions recorded for this hypothesis.

Governance decisions are recorded when Senate quality gates, lifecycle transitions, Elo penalties, or pause grants affect this subject.

Browse all governance decisions →

Wiki Pages

Purinergic Signaling in NeurodegenerationmechanismNeurodegenerationdiseasePANX1 GenegenePANX1 ProteinproteinPANX1 ProteinproteinPANX1 GenegeneAlibaba Tongyi Qianwen-Bio (Chinese Biomedical LLMai_toolP2RY13geneCalcium Signaling Dysregulation in Alzheimer's DismechanismStrokediseaseStressed NeuronscellParkinson's DiseasediseaseAlzheimer's DiseasediseaseBiogencompanyGlial Cellscell

KG Entities (41)

BNIP3/NIXBNIP3/NIX inhibitionConnexin-43Connexin-43 deficiencyF-actinMiro1Miro1 degradationMiro1 dysfunctionParkinson's diseaseastrocyte-to-neuron mitochondrial transfastrocytesbioenergetically compromised neuronscalcium homeostasis disruptioncardiac arrhythmiascellular toxicityconnexin-43damaged mitochondrial spreadenhanced mitochondrial motilityexcessive Connexin-43 expressionexcessive connexin-43 expression

Linked Experiments (1)

Leukocyte gene expression analysis in COVID-19 patientsexploratory | tests | 0.90

Related Hypotheses

Gut Microbiome Remodeling to Prevent Systemic NLRP3 Priming in Neurodegeneration
Score: 0.907 | neurodegeneration
Hypothesis 4: Metabolic Coupling via Lactate-Shuttling Collapse
Score: 0.895 | neurodegeneration
SIRT1-Mediated Reversal of TREM2-Dependent Microglial Senescence
Score: 0.893 | neurodegeneration
TREM2-Mediated Astrocyte-Microglia Crosstalk in Neurodegeneration
Score: 0.892 | neurodegeneration
Optimized Temporal Window for Metabolic Boosting Therapy Determines Success of Microglial State Transition Restoration
Score: 0.887 | neurodegeneration

Estimated Development

Estimated Cost
$0
Timeline
18 months

🧪 Falsifiable Predictions (2)

2 total 0 confirmed 0 falsified
If hypothesis is true, intervention bridge the gap between insufficient endogenous rescue capacity and the need for rapid intervention in acute neurodegeneration
pending conf: 0.40
Expected outcome: bridge the gap between insufficient endogenous rescue capacity and the need for rapid intervention in acute neurodegeneration
Falsified by: Intervention fails to bridge the gap between insufficient endogenous rescue capacity and the need for rapid intervention in acute neurodegeneration
If hypothesis is true, intervention enable surrounding glial cells to provide metabolic support during critical disease phases
pending conf: 0.40
Expected outcome: enable surrounding glial cells to provide metabolic support during critical disease phases
Falsified by: Intervention fails to enable surrounding glial cells to provide metabolic support during critical disease phases

Knowledge Subgraph (31 edges)

activates (1)

Connexin-43astrocyte-to-neuron mitochondrial transfer

causal extracted (1)

sess_SDA-2026-04-01-gap-20260401231108processed

causes (9)

BNIP3/NIX inhibitionoxidative stressexcessive connexin-43 expressioncellular toxicityexcessive connexin-43 expressioncalcium homeostasis disruptionmitochondrial motility enhancementoxidative stressConnexin-43 deficiencyneuronal survival
▸ Show 4 more

enhances (1)

BNIP3/NIX inhibitionmitochondrial transfer efficiency

facilitates (2)

tunneling nanotubesmitochondrial transfertunneling nanotubesintercellular organelle transfer

modulates (3)

BNIP3/NIX inhibitionmitochondrial transfer efficiencyconnexin-43astrocyte-to-neuron mitochondrial transferConnexin-43tunneling nanotube formation

prevents (1)

Miro1 degradationdamaged mitochondrial spread

protective against (3)

astrocytesneuronal survivalmitochondrial transferneuronal bioenergeticsBNIP3/NIX inhibitionhealthy mitochondria preservation

regulates (5)

Miro1intercellular mitochondrial transferBNIP3/NIXmitochondrial turnoverF-actintunneling nanotube formationconnexin-43gap junction communicationBNIP3/NIXmitophagy

risk factor for (4)

Miro1 dysfunctionParkinson's diseaseinsufficient mitophagyneurodegenerationgap junction coupling excessseizuresgap junction coupling excesscardiac arrhythmias

therapeutic target for (1)

astrocytesbioenergetically compromised neurons

Mechanism Pathway for PANX1

Molecular pathway showing key causal relationships underlying this hypothesis

graph TD
    connexin_43["connexin-43"] -->|regulates| gap_junction_communicatio["gap junction communication"]
    tunneling_nanotubes["tunneling nanotubes"] -->|facilitates| intercellular_organelle_t["intercellular organelle transfer"]
    Miro1["Miro1"] -->|regulates| intercellular_mitochondri["intercellular mitochondrial transfer"]
    Miro1_dysfunction["Miro1 dysfunction"] -->|risk factor for| Parkinson_s_disease["Parkinson's disease"]
    Miro1_degradation["Miro1 degradation"] -->|prevents| damaged_mitochondrial_spr["damaged mitochondrial spread"]
    BNIP3_NIX["BNIP3/NIX"] -->|regulates| mitochondrial_turnover["mitochondrial turnover"]
    BNIP3_NIX_inhibition["BNIP3/NIX inhibition"] -->|modulates| mitochondrial_transfer_ef["mitochondrial transfer efficiency"]
    BNIP3_NIX_inhibition_1["BNIP3/NIX inhibition"] -->|causes| oxidative_stress["oxidative stress"]
    tunneling_nanotubes_2["tunneling nanotubes"] -->|facilitates| mitochondrial_transfer["mitochondrial transfer"]
    F_actin["F-actin"] -->|regulates| tunneling_nanotube_format["tunneling nanotube formation"]
    connexin_43_3["connexin-43"] -->|modulates| astrocyte_to_neuron_mitoc["astrocyte-to-neuron mitochondrial transfer"]
    excessive_connexin_43_exp["excessive connexin-43 expression"] -->|causes| cellular_toxicity["cellular toxicity"]
    style connexin_43 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style gap_junction_communicatio fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style tunneling_nanotubes fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style intercellular_organelle_t fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style Miro1 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style intercellular_mitochondri fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style Miro1_dysfunction fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style Parkinson_s_disease fill:#ef5350,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style Miro1_degradation fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style damaged_mitochondrial_spr fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style BNIP3_NIX fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style mitochondrial_turnover fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style BNIP3_NIX_inhibition fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style mitochondrial_transfer_ef fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style BNIP3_NIX_inhibition_1 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style oxidative_stress fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style tunneling_nanotubes_2 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style mitochondrial_transfer fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style F_actin fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style tunneling_nanotube_format fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style connexin_43_3 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style astrocyte_to_neuron_mitoc fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style excessive_connexin_43_exp fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style cellular_toxicity fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000

3D Protein Structure

🧬 PANX1 — PDB 6WBF Click to expand 3D viewer

Experimental structure from RCSB PDB | Powered by Mol* | Rotate: click+drag | Zoom: scroll | Reset: right-click

Source Analysis

Mitochondrial transfer between neurons and glia

neurodegeneration | 2026-04-01 | completed

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Edit History

Action Actor Timestamp Reason Changes
update max_outlook 2026-04-26T10:21 No reason provided Changes recorded

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Same Analysis (5)

Astrocytic Connexin-43 Upregulation Enhances Neuroprotective Mitochond
Score: 0.56 · GJA1
Miro1-Mediated Mitochondrial Trafficking Enhancement Therapy
Score: 0.55 · RHOT1
PINK1/Parkin-Independent Mitophagy Bypass for Enhanced Donor Mitochond
Score: 0.53 · BNIP3/BNIP3L
Synthetic Biology Approach: Designer Mitochondrial Export Systems
Score: 0.51 · Synthetic fusion proteins
Microglia-Derived Extracellular Vesicle Engineering for Targeted Mitoc
Score: 0.48 · RAB27A/LAMP2B
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