Cas13 gRNA Design for Silencing MAPT (Tau) Transcripts in Alzheimer's Disease

neurodegeneration completed 2026-04-16 0 hypotheses 13 KG edges
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Cas13 gRNA Design for Silencing MAPT (Tau) Transcripts in Alzheimer's Disease — Analysis Notebook
CI-generated notebook stub for analysis SDA-BIOMNI-CAS13_PR-d6f415f0. Can optimized Cas13 guide RNAs selectively silence...
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🌍 Provenance DAG 27 nodes, 16 edges

acts on (1)

Cas133R-tau pre-mRNA

associated with (1)

MAPT cryptic splicingPSP/CBS tauopathies

causes (3)

branch point disruptionexon 10 skippingalternative polyA sitescytoplasmic decayco-transcriptional splicingtarget elimination

inhibits (1)

dual-guide Cas13cryptic splicing

limits (1)

splicing kineticspre-mRNA discrimination

occurs in (1)

GUAGGG motifhuman genes

produces (3)

SDA-BIOMNI-CAS13_PR-d6f415f0debate-SDA-BIOMNI-CAS13_PR-d6fSDA-BIOMNI-CAS13_PR-d6f415f0notebook-SDA-BIOMNI-CAS13_PR-dSDA-BIOMNI-CAS13_PR-d6f415f0nb-SDA-BIOMNI-CAS13_PR-d6f415f

reduces (1)

branch point disruption4R-tau load

regulates (2)

MAPT intron 10 branch pointexon 10 inclusionMAPT exon 10 5' splice siteexon 10 inclusion

targets (2)

MAPT 4R-specific intron 10 pol4R-tau transcriptdual-guide Cas13exon 10 flanking regions

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Evo 2 (Arc Institute / NVIDIA / Stanford)ai_tool

Research Question

"Can optimized Cas13 guide RNAs selectively silence pathogenic MAPT splice variants (4R-tau) while preserving normal 3R-tau expression in neurons?"

🧠 Theorist⚠️ Skeptic💊 Domain Expert
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Tokens
4
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$0.08
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Hypotheses
How this analysis was conducted: Four AI personas with distinct expertise debated this research question over 4 rounds. The Theorist proposed novel mechanisms, the Skeptic identified weaknesses, the Domain Expert assessed feasibility, and the Synthesizer integrated perspectives to score 0 hypotheses across 10 dimensions. Scroll down to see the full debate transcript and ranked results.

Scientific Debate (3 rounds) View full transcript →

Multi-agent debate between AI personas, each bringing a distinct perspective to evaluate the research question.

🧠

Theorist

Generates novel, bold hypotheses by connecting ideas across disciplines

882.0 tokens

Hypotheses: Selective 4R-Tau Silencing via Cas13 RNA Editing

Hypothesis 1: Splice-Site-Adjacent mRNA Targeting

Title: Targeting the Exon 10 5' Splice Site with Cas13-dCas13 to Discriminate 4R vs 3R mRNAs

Description: By designing guide RNAs complementary to the 5' splice site region of exon 10 (nucleotides -6 to +20 relative to the splice junction), Cas13 can specifically

...
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Hypotheses: Selective 4R-Tau Silencing via Cas13 RNA Editing

Hypothesis 1: Splice-Site-Adjacent mRNA Targeting

Title: Targeting the Exon 10 5' Splice Site with Cas13-dCas13 to Discriminate 4R vs 3R mRNAs

Description: By designing guide RNAs complementary to the 5' splice site region of exon 10 (nucleotides -6 to +20 relative to the splice junction), Cas13 can specifically bind and cleave 4R-tau mRNA while leaving 3R-tau mRNA intact. The 4R mRNA retains the complete exon 10 splice site context; the 3R mRNA skips this region entirely. This spatial distinction allows preferential 4R knockdown without affecting 3R-tau transcripts.

Target: MAPT exon 10 5' splice site sequence (5'-GUAGGG-3' motif)

Confidence: 0.65
> Basis: Splice sites are highly conserved; off-target risk mitigated by neuron-specific delivery systems. Precedent exists for splice-site targeting in other splicing disorders (e.g., SMA).

Hypothesis 2: Intron 10 Branch Point/Polypyrimidine Tract Disruption

Title: Selective Disruption of 4R-tau mRNA Stability via Intron 10 Branch Point Sequence Targeting

Description: The branch point adenosine and polypyrimidine tract within intron 10 are essential for the splicing reaction that retains exon 10. Targeting these sequences with Cas13 can interfere with the recognition complex on the nascent pre-mRNA. This disrupts 4R-tau processing before mature mRNA export, reducing 4R-tau load while preserving the 3R-tau splicing pathway, which uses different intronic elements.

Target: MAPT intron 10 branch point region (~30-40 nucleotides upstream of 3' splice site)

Confidence: 0.45
> Basis: Mechanistically plausible but indirect; may affect splicing efficiency rather than direct cleavage. Requires high-efficiency Cas13 delivery to nuclear-nascent RNA complexes.

Hypothesis 3: Alternative Polyadenylation Site Redirected Degradation

Title: Exploiting 4R-Tau-Specific Alternative Polyadenylation Signals for Targeted mRNA Decay

Description: 4R-tau transcripts utilize a distinct polyadenylation signal (AAUAAA variant) within intron 10 that is absent in 3R-tau. Guide RNAs designed to the pre-mRNA region flanking this polyA signal can recruit Cas13 to induce co-transcriptional cleavage and cytoplasmic decay specifically in 4R-tau mRNAs. This leverages endogenous RNA degradation machinery while maintaining splice site integrity.

Target: MAPT intron 10 alternative polyadenylation signal (position ~150-200 nt into intron 10)

Confidence: 0.55
> Basis: Alternative polyA sites in MAPT have been documented (Zhang et al., JBC 2021); targeting offers high specificity but may have variable efficiency depending on 3' end processing kinetics.

Hypothesis 4: Dual-Guide Cas13 Strategy for Exon 10-Excluded Transcripts

Title: Utilizing Cas13 to Prevent Trans-splicing Events that Generate Aberrant 4R-tau Variants

Description: A subset of pathogenic 4R-tau includes minor splice variants using cryptic exon 10 donor sites. Dual guide RNAs flanking the canonical exon 10 boundaries can simultaneously block cryptic splice site usage and induce RNase-mediated decay of mis-spliced transcripts. This preserves wild-type 3R-tau while eliminating pathologically altered 4R-tau isoforms.

Target: MAPT exon 10 flanking regions (5' splice donor: chr17:44074000-44074040; 3' acceptor: chr17:44083500-44083540)

Confidence: 0.50
> *Basis: Cryptic splicing in MAPT has been reported in PSP/C

⚠️

Skeptic

Challenges assumptions, identifies weaknesses, and provides counter-evidence

1,920.0 tokens

This is a scientific skepticism task where I need to critically evaluate four hypotheses about selective 4R-tau silencing via Cas13 RNA editing. Let me go through each hypothesis systematically.

General Context

  • MAPT (Microtubule-Associated Protein Tau) gene has two major isoforms: 3R-tau and 4R-tau
  • 3R-tau excludes exon 10; 4R-tau includes exon 10
  • The ratio of 3R:4R tau is important for n

...
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This is a scientific skepticism task where I need to critically evaluate four hypotheses about selective 4R-tau silencing via Cas13 RNA editing. Let me go through each hypothesis systematically.

General Context

  • MAPT (Microtubule-Associated Protein Tau) gene has two major isoforms: 3R-tau and 4R-tau
  • 3R-tau excludes exon 10; 4R-tau includes exon 10
  • The ratio of 3R:4R tau is important for neuronal function
  • Dysregulation of this ratio is implicated in various tauopathies (CBD, PSP, etc.)

Critical Evaluation Framework


For each hypothesis I need to:
  • Identify specific weaknesses and challenges
  • Cite potential counter-evidence
  • Propose falsification experiments
  • Assign revised confidence scores
  • Let me work through each:

    Hypothesis 1: Splice-Site-Adjacent mRNA Targeting

    Core claim: By targeting the 5' splice site of exon 10, Cas13 can discriminate 4R vs 3R mRNA because 3R mRNA skips exon 10 entirely.

    Weaknesses:

  • Sequence overlap issue: The 5' splice site (GUAGGG) is part of exon 10. While 3R-tau excludes exon 10, the pre-mRNA still contains this sequence in the nascent transcript. Cas13 acts on nascent RNA in the nucleus, so it could potentially bind to the pre-mRNA before splicing occurs.
  • Off-target risk: The GUAGGG motif is not unique to MAPT. This is a very short 6-nucleotide target, which increases off-target potential significantly.
  • Kinetic competition: Splicing occurs co-transcriptionally very rapidly.
  • Cas13 cleavage might not outpace the splicing machinery before exon 10 gets excised in 3R transcripts, undermining the intended specificity. Additionally, the targeted region sits within the coding sequence of 4R-tau, so even successful cleavage could produce truncated proteins with unpredictable consequences. There's also the fundamental challenge that 3R and 4R share the majority of their sequence, making any targeting strategy that relies on differential expression inherently difficult to execute with precision.

    Alternative splicing of MAPT is tightly regulated with multiple splicing factors (SR proteins, hnRNPs) binding at the exon 10 splice site, which means an RNA-targeting approach might fail to outcompete these natural mechanisms. The specific 5' splice site sequence, while somewhat distinctive, may not be unique enough to avoid targeting other transcripts with similar motifs.

    Testing this hypothesis would require designing gRNAs against the exon 10 5' splice site and measuring changes in 3R:4R ratio after Cas13 expression—ideally in a cell line that naturally produces both isoforms. If 3R levels remain unchanged, that would suggest the approach lacks the necessary specificity to achieve the desired discrimination.

    Beyond that, I should examine whether any transcripts unrelated to MAPT share the same 5' splice site sequence and how the efficiency of Cas13 targeting stacks up against the rate at which splicing occurs. The current evidence seems to support this concept in other diseases like SMA, though the mechanistic basis for that precedent remains unclear.

    The confidence score probably needs adjustment downward given the off-target concerns with a short 6-nucleotide target and the technical difficulty of outpacing co-transcriptional splicing. Something closer to 0.45-0.55 seems more realistic than the initial estimate of 0.65.

    Moving to the second hypothesis about disrupting the branch point and polypyrimidine tract in intron 10—targeting these elements could theoretically shift the 3R:4R ratio toward more 3R expression. The branch point adenosine and polypyrimidine tract are essential for splicing at the 3' splice site of exon 10, so if these sequences are disrupted or blocked, exon 10 splicing could be compromised. This would preferentially reduce 4R-tau production. The key advantage here is that these sequences are only present in 4R-tau pre-mRNA since 3R-tau excludes this region entirely, making this approach potentially more specific than targeting the splice site itself.

    However, there are significant technical obstacles. The branch point is located within intron 10, which requires Cas13 to access the nascent pre-mRNA in the nucleus with high efficiency—something that's proven difficult with current delivery methods. Additionally, the branch point sequence is relatively short (around 30-40 nucleotides), limiting the gRNA design options. Even with successful targeting, disrupting this region might simply reduce 4R-tau expression rather than eliminate it, and there's a risk of interfering with normal splicing of other genes that share similar branch point consensus sequences.

    The specificity concern is substantial: the branch point consensus (YNYURAY in humans) appears frequently in transcripts genome-wide, and while intron 10 is large (approximately 10kb), off-target effects remain plausible. Moreover, the splicing machinery might adapt or compensate for partial disruption of the branch point region, diminishing the effect over time. There's also the possibility that 4R-tau uses alternative branch points within intron 10, similar to what occurs in other disease contexts. The mechanistic prediction itself is problematic—disrupting the branch point could trigger exon 10 skipping across both isoforms rather than selectively reducing 4R-tau, since this branch point is used by both splicing pathways.

    Splicing occurs on a tight timeline (approximately 60-90 nucleotides from the branch point to the spliceosome assembly), so Cas13 may not have sufficient time to interact with the target before splicing is complete. Current evidence for branch point targeting is largely theoretical; functional studies are limited. Testing this hypothesis would require mapping the branch point using available datasets like branch-point-seq, then designing gRNAs to match it and assessing whether splicing is disrupted in the expected manner.

    One key control would be validating that off-target genes with similar branch points show no splicing changes, and testing whether the reduction is actually due to the branch point disruption or simply to RNA cleavage elsewhere in the intron. If 4R-tau expression doesn't change despite successful Cas13 delivery, or if the effect persists even when the branch point is restored, that would suggest the mechanism isn't working as proposed. This hypothesis is more speculative than the first, making it harder to execute but potentially offering higher specificity if successful. I'm estimating around 0.35-0.45 confidence given the technical demands and mechanistic uncertainty.

    For the alternative polyadenylation hypothesis, there's documented support for variable polyA sites in MAPT, and this would be the most selective approach if true since polyA signals are inherently transcript-specific. The mechanism is also distinct from splicing, avoiding some complications. However, alternative polyA sites are less well-characterized in this system and the efficiency could be inconsistent. Targeting the 150-200 nucleotide region might miss the actual polyA site, and even if the site is confirmed, simply targeting nearby doesn't guarantee the signal will be disrupted. There's also the risk that 3R-tau transcripts might use overlapping polyA signals, and Cas13-mediated cleavage could trigger broader RNA degradation rather than precise silencing.

    The mechanistic concern is significant: if the alternative polyA site itself is part of intron 10, Cas13 cleavage might not prevent 4R-tau export if cleavage occurs downstream of the splice point, and the cleaved mRNA fragment could still be spliced normally. More critically, polyA site choice depends heavily on

    💊

    Domain Expert

    Assesses druggability, clinical feasibility, and commercial viability

    1,557.0 tokens

    Domain Expert Assessment: 4R-Tau Selective Silencing via Cas13

    Foundational Issue: MAPT Splicing Biology

    Before evaluating individual hypotheses, a critical mechanistic constraint must be established. MAPT alternative splicing is governed by a complex interplay of cis-acting elements and trans-acting factors that act with remarkable speed and precision. Splicing is predominantly

    ...
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    Domain Expert Assessment: 4R-Tau Selective Silencing via Cas13

    Foundational Issue: MAPT Splicing Biology

    Before evaluating individual hypotheses, a critical mechanistic constraint must be established. MAPT alternative splicing is governed by a complex interplay of cis-acting elements and trans-acting factors that act with remarkable speed and precision. Splicing is predominantly co-transcriptional, occurring as RNA polymerase II progresses through the gene. This means any nuclear-acting nuclease (including Cas13) must compete with splicing kinetics on a timescale of seconds. The spliceosome assembles rapidly, and by the time Cas13-mediated cleavage could substantially reduce target RNA, splicing may have already completed.

    The fundamental challenge across all four hypotheses: 4R-tau and 3R-tau arise from the same pre-mRNA molecule. Preferential reduction of 4R-tau requires either (a) acting on the pre-mRNA before the splicing decision is made, or (b) specifically recognizing the spliced 4R-tau mRNA after processing. Both approaches face inherent technical barriers.

    Hypothesis 1: Splice-Site-Adjacent mRNA Targeting

    Critical Weaknesses

    1. Co-transcriptional Splicing Conflict
    The spliceosome assembles on pre-mRNA within seconds of transcription. The branch-point-to-splice-site distance is typically 18-37 nucleotides, and splicing catalysis occurs rapidly thereafter. Cas13, whether catalytically active or dead with fused effectors, requires guide RNA binding and RNP formation before cleavage can occur. This kinetic barrier may result in:

    • Cas13 binding after splicing completes (target already eliminated regardless of isoform)
    • Incomplete discrimination if splicing outpaces editing
    2. Pre-mRNA Targeting Confounds Isoform Specificity
    While the claim states "3R-tau mRNA skips this region entirely," this only applies to the processed mRNA. Nascent 3R-tau pre-mRNA contains exon 10 before splicing occurs. Cas13 localizes to the nucleus and can act on pre-mRNA. Thus, both isoforms are theoretically targetable during the transcription window. The hypothesis assumes Cas13 acts exclusively on mature cytoplasmic mRNA, which contradicts the nuclear localization of splice-site-targeting strategies.

    3. Off-Target Risk from Short 6-Nucleotide Motif
    The GUAGGG 5' splice site is not unique. Splice sites throughout the human genome share this consensus. A 6-nucleotide exact match occurs in hundreds of human genes. Even with mismatched seed regions, partial complementarity could drive off-target cleavage. The theoretical specificity is much lower than presented.

    4. Coding Sequence Consequences
    Even if 4R specificity is achieved, complete cleavage within the exon 10 coding region will generate truncated tau fragments. Whether these fragments are benign or toxic is unknown. Partial knockdown (rather than knockout) might be preferable, but the hypothesis doesn't address this.

    Falsification Experiments

    | Experiment | Expected Outcome if Hypothesis Valid | Interpretation if Contradicted |
    |------------|--------------------------------------|-------------------------------|
    | Reporter assay: transfect 3R-tau minigene with/without Cas13 targeting exon 10 splice site | 3R-tau remains unchanged; 4R-tau reduces | If 3R-tau also decreases → pre-mRNA targeting invalidates specificity claim |
    | RNA-seq after Cas13 treatment | Specific 4R reduction; no 3R change | Global splicing changes → off-target effects |
    | Nascent RNA sequencing (GRO-seq) | Reduced transcription of 4R; 3R unaffected | If transcription unchanged but protein decreases → post-transcriptional mechanism not splice-site-specific |
    | Off-target PCR across transcriptome | No unintended cleavage | Cleavage at off-target sites → need longer guide or higher specificity |

    Revised Confidence: 0.40 (down from 0.65)

    Rationale: The fundamental claim of isoform discrimination based on "spatial distinction" is undermined by the fact that pre-mRNA contains both exon 10 sequences regardless of eventual splicing fate. The 6-nucleotide target is too short for practical specificity. Splicing kinetics present an unresolved competition. While precedent exists for splice-site-targeting (SMA with antisense oligonucleotides), ASOs function through steric blockade of splice sites—not through nuclease cleavage, which is irreversible and potentially more hazardous.

    Hypothesis 2: Intron 10 Branch Point/Polypyrimidine Tract Disruption

    Critical Weaknesses

    1. Non-Specific Exon Skipping Risk
    This is the most serious mechanistic flaw. The branch point and polypyrimidine tract are required for exon 10 inclusion in transcripts that use this splice site. If disrupted, the default outcome may be exon 10 skipping in both 3R and 4R pathways, not selective reduction of 4R-tau. The hypothesis assumes the branch point is uniquely required for the 4R pathway, but:

    • 4R-tau uses the exon 10 inclusion pathway
    • 3R-tau uses the exon 10 skipping pathway
    • Disrupting elements required for exon 10 inclusion will shift both toward skipping

    The result would be a reduction in both isoforms (potentially preferentially 4R if 3R-tau has additional pathways), not selective 4R knockdown.

    2. Deep Nuclear Localization Requirement
    Intron 10 is >10kb, and the branch point region is located upstream of the 3' splice site. Cas13 must access nascent pre-mRNA deep within nuclear compartment. Current AAV and LNP delivery systems show poor nuclear delivery efficiency in neurons. Even with successful nuclear localization, the pre-mRNA may be protected within the splicing complex (spliceosome).

    3. Branch Point Sequence Degeneracy
    The branch point consensus in humans is YNYURAY (where Y=pyrimidine, N=any, R=purine). This is present in thousands of introns. The "30-40 nucleotides" targeting window is imprecise—branch points can be distributed throughout this region. Without precise mapping in the relevant cell type, gRNA design is speculative.

    4. Compensatory Splicing Mechanisms
    Splicing factors (SF2/ASF, SC35, hnRNPs) binding to exon 10 splicing enhancers/silencers can compensate for partial branch point disruption. A

    Ranked Hypotheses (0)

    Following multi-persona debate and rigorous evaluation across 10 dimensions, these hypotheses emerged as the most promising therapeutic approaches.

    ⚠️ No Hypotheses Generated

    This analysis did not produce scored hypotheses. It may be incomplete or in-progress.

    Knowledge Graph Insights (13 edges)

    acts on (1)

    Cas133R-tau pre-mRNA

    associated with (1)

    MAPT cryptic splicingPSP/CBS tauopathies

    causes (3)

    branch point disruptionexon 10 skippingalternative polyA sitescytoplasmic decayco-transcriptional splicingtarget elimination

    inhibits (1)

    dual-guide Cas13cryptic splicing

    limits (1)

    splicing kineticspre-mRNA discrimination

    occurs in (1)

    GUAGGG motifhuman genes

    reduces (1)

    branch point disruption4R-tau load

    regulates (2)

    MAPT intron 10 branch pointexon 10 inclusionMAPT exon 10 5' splice siteexon 10 inclusion

    targets (2)

    MAPT 4R-specific intron 10 polyadenylation signal4R-tau transcriptdual-guide Cas13exon 10 flanking regions

    Pathway Diagram

    Interactive pathway showing key molecular relationships discovered in this analysis

    graph TD
        MAPT_intron_10_branch_poi["MAPT intron 10 branch point"] -->|regulates| exon_10_inclusion["exon 10 inclusion"]
        branch_point_disruption["branch point disruption"] -->|causes| exon_10_skipping["exon 10 skipping"]
        Cas13["Cas13"] -->|acts on| n3R_tau_pre_mRNA["3R-tau pre-mRNA"]
        GUAGGG_motif["GUAGGG motif"] -->|occurs in| human_genes["human genes"]
        MAPT_exon_10_5__splice_si["MAPT exon 10 5' splice site"] -->|regulates| exon_10_inclusion_1["exon 10 inclusion"]
        branch_point_disruption_2["branch point disruption"] -.->|reduces| n4R_tau_load["4R-tau load"]
        MAPT_4R_specific_intron_1["MAPT 4R-specific intron 10 polyadenylation signal"] -->|targets| n4R_tau_transcript["4R-tau transcript"]
        dual_guide_Cas13["dual-guide Cas13"] -->|targets| exon_10_flanking_regions["exon 10 flanking regions"]
        dual_guide_Cas13_3["dual-guide Cas13"] -.->|inhibits| cryptic_splicing["cryptic splicing"]
        MAPT_cryptic_splicing["MAPT cryptic splicing"] -->|associated with| PSP_CBS_tauopathies["PSP/CBS tauopathies"]
        alternative_polyA_sites["alternative polyA sites"] -->|causes| cytoplasmic_decay["cytoplasmic decay"]
        splicing_kinetics["splicing kinetics"] -->|limits| pre_mRNA_discrimination["pre-mRNA discrimination"]
        style MAPT_intron_10_branch_poi fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style exon_10_inclusion fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style branch_point_disruption fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style exon_10_skipping fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style Cas13 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style n3R_tau_pre_mRNA fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style GUAGGG_motif fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style human_genes fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style MAPT_exon_10_5__splice_si fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style exon_10_inclusion_1 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style branch_point_disruption_2 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style n4R_tau_load fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style MAPT_4R_specific_intron_1 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style n4R_tau_transcript fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style dual_guide_Cas13 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style exon_10_flanking_regions fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style dual_guide_Cas13_3 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style cryptic_splicing fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style MAPT_cryptic_splicing fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style PSP_CBS_tauopathies fill:#ef5350,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style alternative_polyA_sites fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style cytoplasmic_decay fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style splicing_kinetics fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
        style pre_mRNA_discrimination fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000

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