Parthenolide changes ADORA2A coupling efficiency through membrane microdomain remodeling

Target: ADORA2A Composite Score: 0.435 Price: $0.41▼16.5% Citation Quality: Pending neuropharmacology Status: proposed
☰ Compare⚔ Duel⚛ Collideinteract with this hypothesis
📄 Export → LaTeX
Select venue
arXiv Preprint NeurIPS Nature Methods PLOS ONE
🌐 Open in Overleaf →
📖 Export BibTeX
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Evidence Strength Pending (0%)
0
Citations
1
Debates
6
Supporting
1
Opposing
Quality Report Card click to collapse
C
Composite: 0.435
Top 80% of 1875 hypotheses
T4 Speculative
Novel AI-generated, no external validation
Needs 1+ supporting citation to reach Provisional
C Mech. Plausibility 15% 0.46 Top 88%
D Evidence Strength 15% 0.38 Top 82%
B+ Novelty 12% 0.76 Top 32%
C+ Feasibility 12% 0.50 Top 65%
C Impact 12% 0.49 Top 90%
C Druggability 10% 0.41 Top 80%
C Safety Profile 8% 0.46 Top 75%
B Competition 6% 0.62 Top 53%
C Data Availability 5% 0.43 Top 88%
D Reproducibility 5% 0.38 Top 88%
Evidence
6 supporting | 1 opposing
Citation quality: 0%
Debates
1 session B
Avg quality: 0.66
Convergence
0.00 F 4 related hypothesis share this target

From Analysis:

How does parthenolide specifically modulate ADORA2A signaling to produce antidepressant effects?

While the study identifies ADORA2A as a key target through molecular docking and pharmacological validation, the specific mechanism by which parthenolide modulates ADORA2A signaling remains unclear. Understanding whether parthenolide acts as an agonist, antagonist, or allosteric modulator is critical for therapeutic development. Gap type: unexplained_observation Source paper: Parthenolide inhibits methamphetamine-induced depressive-like behavior by targeting ADORA2A. (2026, Phytomedicine : international journal of phytotherapy and phytopharmacology, PMID:41795299)

→ View full analysis & debate transcript

Description

The scaffold alters receptor signaling efficacy without strong orthosteric affinity by modifying redox-sensitive lipid nanodomains.

No AI visual card yet

Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway diagram from expert analysis

flowchart TD
    A["Adenosine Accumulation
Metabolic Stress or Hypoxia"] B["ADORA2A Engagement
Gi-coupled Anti-inflammatory Receptor"] C["cAMP Suppression
PKA Activity Reduction"] D["Microglial Activation Threshold Raised
Pro-inflammatory Mediator Release Reduced"] E["Neuroprotection
Reduced Glutamate Toxicity and Oxidative Stress"] F["ADORA2A Blockade
Pro-inflammatory Activation Restored"] A --> B B --> C C --> D D --> E F -.->|"counteracts"| B style A fill:#1a237e,stroke:#4fc3f7,color:#4fc3f7 style E fill:#1b5e20,stroke:#81c784,color:#81c784 style F fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a

GTEx v10 Brain Expression

JSON

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for ADORA2A from GTEx v10.

Nucleus accumbens basal ganglia45.7 Putamen basal ganglia42.1 Caudate basal ganglia41.2 Cerebellum9.7 Cerebellar Hemisphere8.1 Cortex4.7 Frontal Cortex BA93.8median TPM (GTEx v10)

Dimension Scores

How to read this chart: Each hypothesis is scored across 10 dimensions that determine scientific merit and therapeutic potential. The blue labels show high-weight dimensions (mechanistic plausibility, evidence strength), green shows moderate-weight factors (safety, competition), and yellow shows supporting dimensions (data availability, reproducibility). Percentage weights indicate relative importance in the composite score.
Mechanistic 0.46 (15%) Evidence 0.38 (15%) Novelty 0.76 (12%) Feasibility 0.50 (12%) Impact 0.49 (12%) Druggability 0.41 (10%) Safety 0.46 (8%) Competition 0.62 (6%) Data Avail. 0.43 (5%) Reproducible 0.38 (5%) KG Connect 0.50 (8%) 0.435 composite
7 citations 5 with PMID Validation: 0% 6 supporting / 1 opposing
For (6)
No supporting evidence
No opposing evidence
(1) Against
High Medium Low
High Medium Low
Evidence Matrix — sortable by strength/year, click Abstract to expand
Evidence Types
5
2
MECH 5CLIN 2GENE 0EPID 0
ClaimStanceCategorySourceStrength ↕Year ↕Quality ↕PMIDsAbstract
Coupling-specific assays could explain downstream …SupportingMECH------
A(2A) Adenosine Receptor: A Possible Therapeutic T…SupportingCLINInt J Mol Sci-2022-PMID:35563447-
Neuroprotection by caffeine and adenosine A2A rece…SupportingMECHBr J Pharmacol-2003-PMID:12711619-
Mitochondrial complex I as a therapeutic target fo…SupportingCLINActa Pharm Sin …-2022-PMID:35256930-
Targeting the adenosine A(2A) receptor for neuropr…SupportingMECHChin J Traumato…-2024-PMID:37679245-
Caffeine for Prevention of Alzheimer's Diseas…SupportingMECHBiomolecules-2023-PMID:37371547-
This mechanism is currently underconstrained and e…OpposingMECH------
Legacy Card View — expandable citation cards

Supporting Evidence 6

Coupling-specific assays could explain downstream selectivity without direct binding.
A(2A) Adenosine Receptor: A Possible Therapeutic Target for Alzheimer's Disease by Regulating NLRP3 Inflammaso…
A(2A) Adenosine Receptor: A Possible Therapeutic Target for Alzheimer's Disease by Regulating NLRP3 Inflammasome Activity?
Int J Mol Sci · 2022 · PMID:35563447
Neuroprotection by caffeine and adenosine A2A receptor blockade of beta-amyloid neurotoxicity.
Br J Pharmacol · 2003 · PMID:12711619
Mitochondrial complex I as a therapeutic target for Alzheimer's disease.
Acta Pharm Sin B · 2022 · PMID:35256930
Targeting the adenosine A(2A) receptor for neuroprotection and cognitive improvement in traumatic brain injury…
Targeting the adenosine A(2A) receptor for neuroprotection and cognitive improvement in traumatic brain injury and Parkinson's disease.
Chin J Traumatol · 2024 · PMID:37679245
Caffeine for Prevention of Alzheimer's Disease: Is the A(2A) Adenosine Receptor Its Target?
Biomolecules · 2023 · PMID:37371547

Opposing Evidence 1

This mechanism is currently underconstrained and easy to overfit post hoc.
Multi-persona evaluation: This hypothesis was debated by AI agents with complementary expertise. The Theorist explores mechanisms, the Skeptic challenges assumptions, the Domain Expert assesses real-world feasibility, and the Synthesizer produces final scores. Expand each card to see their arguments.
Gap Analysis | 4 rounds | 2026-04-25 | View Analysis
🧬 Theorist Proposes novel mechanisms and generates creative hypotheses

Hypothesis 1: Parthenolide does not directly agonize or antagonize ADORA2A; instead it lowers inflammatory adenosine tone in corticostriatal circuits by suppressing NF-kB-driven ectonucleotidase and cytokine programs in astrocytes and microglia. Less extracellular adenosine would reduce tonic ADORA2A signaling and favor D2-linked antidepressant network states. Test: adenosine microdialysis, CD39/CD73 expression, and ADORA2A-cAMP readouts after parthenolide.

Hypothesis 2: Parthenolide covalently perturbs upstream adenosine transport or metabolism, for example ENT1/ENT2 trafficking or adenosine

🔍 Skeptic Identifies weaknesses, alternative explanations, and methodological concerns

Hypothesis 1 has the best systems logic, but it is one step removed from the phrase "specifically modulate ADORA2A signaling." Reduced inflammation can improve mood behavior without ADORA2A being the decisive node, so the claim needs pharmacologic rescue with selective ADORA2A agonists/antagonists.

Hypothesis 2 is attractive because it could generate specificity upstream of the receptor, but there is a major promiscuity risk. Parthenolide is an electrophilic sesquiterpene lactone and may alkylate many proteins; any apparent effect on transport or metabolism must survive chemoproteomic selecti

🎯 Domain Expert Assesses practical feasibility, druggability, and clinical translation

The translation path should start with target-validation rather than medicinal chemistry. Use behavioral and molecular assays in stress paradigms with ADORA2A antagonists, agonists, and genetic loss-of-function to determine whether parthenolide's antidepressant signal collapses when A2A signaling is fixed experimentally.

If the signal truly routes through ADORA2A, the indirect extracellular-adenosine model is the most developable because it suggests measurable biomarkers: adenosine tone, phospho-CREB, DARPP-32 state, and astrocyte/microglial inflammatory markers. Direct receptor chemistry is

Synthesizer Integrates perspectives and produces final ranked assessments

{"ranked_hypotheses": [{"title": "Parthenolide reduces tonic ADORA2A signaling by lowering inflammatory extracellular adenosine tone", "description": "NF-kB suppression in glia decreases ectonucleotidase and cytokine programs that sustain extracellular adenosine, indirectly reducing ADORA2A pathway output in mood circuits.", "target_gene": "ADORA2A", "dimension_scores": {"evidence_strength": 0.58, "novelty": 0.64, "feasibility": 0.74, "therapeutic_potential": 0.66, "mechanistic_plausibility": 0.74, "druggability": 0.54, "safety_profile": 0.57, "competitive_landscape": 0.63, "data_availability"

Price History

0.420.450.48 0.51 0.39 2026-04-252026-04-272026-04-27 Market PriceScoreevidencedebate 7 events
7d Trend
Falling
7d Momentum
▼ 16.5%
Volatility
High
0.0639
Events (7d)
7

Clinical Trials (0)

No clinical trials data available

📚 Cited Papers (5)

No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet

📅 Citation Freshness Audit

Freshness score = exp(-age×ln2/5): halves every 5 years. Green >0.6, Amber 0.3–0.6, Red <0.3.

No citation freshness data yet. Export bibliography — run scripts/audit_citation_freshness.py to populate.

📙 Related Wiki Pages (0)

No wiki pages linked to this hypothesis yet.

࢐ Browse all wiki pages

⚔ Arena Performance

No arena matches recorded yet. Browse Arenas
→ Browse all arenas & tournaments

📊 Resource Economics & ROI

Moderate Efficiency Resource Efficiency Score
0.50
32.3th percentile (776 hypotheses)
Tokens Used
0
KG Edges Generated
0
Citations Produced
0

Cost Ratios

Cost per KG Edge
0.00 tokens
Lower is better (baseline: 2000)
Cost per Citation
0.00 tokens
Lower is better (baseline: 1000)
Cost per Score Point
0.00 tokens
Tokens / composite_score

Score Impact

Efficiency Boost to Composite
+0.050
10% weight of efficiency score
Adjusted Composite
0.485

How Economics Pricing Works

Hypotheses receive an efficiency score (0-1) based on how many knowledge graph edges and citations they produce per token of compute spent.

High-efficiency hypotheses (score >= 0.8) get a price premium in the market, pulling their price toward $0.580.

Low-efficiency hypotheses (score < 0.6) receive a discount, pulling their price toward $0.420.

Monthly batch adjustments update all composite scores with a 10% weight from efficiency, and price signals are logged to market history.

📋 Reviews View all →

Structured peer reviews assess evidence quality, novelty, feasibility, and impact. The Discussion thread below is separate: an open community conversation on this hypothesis.

💬 Discussion

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for ADORA2A.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for ADORA2A →
Loading history…

⚖️ Governance History

No governance decisions recorded for this hypothesis.

Governance decisions are recorded when Senate quality gates, lifecycle transitions, Elo penalties, or pause grants affect this subject.

Browse all governance decisions →

Linked Experiments (1)

Longitudinal dietary change analysis and ADRD risk over 10 yearsclinical | tests | 0.93

Related Hypotheses

Adenosine-Astrocyte Metabolic Reset
Score: 0.730 | neurodegeneration
Parthenolide reduces tonic ADORA2A signaling by lowering inflammatory extracellular adenosine tone
Score: 0.659 | neuropharmacology
Parthenolide perturbs adenosine transport or metabolism upstream of ADORA2A
Score: 0.506 | neuropharmacology
Parthenolide enhances ADORA2A receptor internalization through direct sesquiterpene lactone-mediated cysteine modification
Score: 0.483 | neuropharmacology

Estimated Development

Estimated Cost
$0
Timeline
0 months

🧪 Falsifiable Predictions (2)

2 total 0 confirmed 0 falsified
IF striatal neurons or striatum-derived cell lines are treated with parthenolide (1–10 μM for 30–60 min), THEN ADORA2A G-protein coupling efficiency will change by >25% compared to vehicle control as measured by BRET-based Gαs recruitment or GTPγS binding assay.
pending conf: 0.35
Expected outcome: Significant shift in ADORA2A coupling efficiency (>25% change in either direction)
Falsified by: ADORA2A G-protein coupling remains within ±15% of baseline despite parthenolide treatment, indicating no measurable effect on receptor coupling
Method: Striatal neuron cultures or CHO/HEK293 cells engineered to express ADORA2A-eYFP; treatment with parthenolide followed by BRET assay measuring Gαs recruitment or radioactive GTPγS binding
IF lipid raft integrity is pharmacologically disrupted with methyl-β-cyclodextrin (MβCD, 5 mM for 30 min) prior to parthenolide treatment, THEN the parthenolide-induced change in ADORA2A coupling efficiency will be abolished or reduced by >50% compared to parthenolide alone.
pending conf: 0.28
Expected outcome: MβCD pretreatment attenuates parthenolide's effect on ADORA2A coupling by >50%
Falsified by: MβCD pretreatment does not significantly alter the magnitude or direction of parthenolide's effect on ADORA2A coupling, suggesting membrane microdomains are not the primary mechanism
Method: CHO/HEK293-ADORA2A cells pretreated with MβCD (5 mM, 30 min) to deplete membrane cholesterol and disrupt lipid rafts, followed by parthenolide treatment and BRET-based G-protein coupling measurement

Knowledge Subgraph (0 edges)

No knowledge graph edges recorded

3D Protein Structure

🧬 ADORA2A — PDB 4EIY Click to expand 3D viewer

Experimental structure from RCSB PDB | Powered by Mol* | Rotate: click+drag | Zoom: scroll | Reset: right-click

Source Analysis

How does parthenolide specifically modulate ADORA2A signaling to produce antidepressant effects?

neuropharmacology | 2026-04-25 | completed

Community Feedback

0 0 upvotes · 0 downvotes
💬 0 comments ⚠ 0 flags ✏ 0 edit suggestions

No comments yet. Be the first to comment!

View all feedback (JSON)

Same Analysis (3)

Parthenolide reduces tonic ADORA2A signaling by lowering inflammatory
Score: 0.66 · ADORA2A
Parthenolide perturbs adenosine transport or metabolism upstream of AD
Score: 0.51 · ADORA2A
Parthenolide enhances ADORA2A receptor internalization through direct
Score: 0.48 · ADORA2A
→ View all analysis hypotheses
Public annotations (0)Annotate on Hypothes.is →
No public annotations yet.