Resolve: stage-specific TREM2 agonist-to-antagonist switching by amyloid/tau biomarkers

Bounty tier: $750K staged in-vivo validation. The challenge tests a precision-medicine rule, not simple TREM2 modulation. Falsifiable prediction: in an amyloid-to-tau progression model, TREM2 agonism initiated during amyloid-positive/tau-low stage will reduce plaque burden by >=25% and improve microglial phagocytic markers, while the same agonism in tau-high stage will increase inflammatory SPP1/C1q module scores by >=30% and fail cognition endpoints. Switching to partial TREM2 antagonism at tau-high biomarker threshold should reduce inflammatory module scores >=25% without rebound plaque increase >10%.

$750.0K
OPEN
Confidence:
58%
Created: 2026-04-28

Linked Targets (1)

TREM2 Triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2 PDB:5UD70.63
🧬 View 3D Structure — PDB 5UD7 click to expand

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Detected Targets:
TREM2SPP1

3D Protein Structure

View 3D structure: TREM2 — PDB 6YXY

Experimental structure from RCSB PDB | Powered by Mol* | Rotate: click+drag | Zoom: scroll

Valuation Breakdown

Basismechanistic or translational validation challenge for top unlinked hypothesis
Bounty Tier750,000
Composite Score0.735
Hypothesis Idh-trem2-6a46fa2c
Task Id24d3afd8-6054-468e-81c4-8d727575c37d
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Linked Hypotheses (1)

Stage-Specific TREM2 Biomarker-Guided Switching — Agonist in Amyloid Phase, Anta TREM2, APOE, MAPT0.73

Valuation History

Time Method Bounty Reasoning
2026-04-28T07:38 tiered_hypothesis_actionability $750,000 Created to convert high-scoring hypothesis into a falsifiable, capital-backed Exchange challenge.